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Financial market analysis

Financial market analysis

23 December 2020

Прогнозы ведущего трейдера Валдиса Вулдорфса: 

S&P500

Immediately after the quarterly expiration, we saw a sharp downward movement, so coincidentally, it was on Monday that the news about a new virus strain from the UK came out. With my 15-year experience, such coincidences do not seem accidental to me. However, on Tuesday the long-looming correction stopped. It is likely that we will see downward movements again before the end of the week. It might even make sense to try to sell 3675 here with a stop at 3700 and a downside target at 3550.


PA (Palladium)

All the volatility for this instrument has completely gone, as if the main speculator went on vacation. Trading takes place in a narrow range of 2500/2200. However, we know that there is a strong exit from any consolidation. We are watching.


GC (Gold)

The upper resistance was determined by us absolutely correctly (1900). It was this level that the gold could not overcome and closed lower on the same day. Either gold still tries to break through the level and then the road to 2080 will open for us, or not. Judging by the dynamics of silver, gold still has good chances. After closing above 1900, you can try to buy.


CL (WTI Oil)

The high was set at 49.28. It is not worth buying before 45 or 43.50.


NG (Gas)

Having stood all week at around 2.7, it has broken through today and this level is higher. Closed at 2.765, likely to reach 3.00. Those who did not close the entire position, bought earlier at 2.4 with us, can try to sit up to 3.00.


KC (Coffee)

Aim at 135. Last price is 124.43. To buy late, we are waiting.


USD/RUB

I would like to quote the text of last week word for word – “The ruble is consolidating at 73.50, many investment houses unanimously say that the“ fair ”price is much lower, the levels are 71.00, and the most daring predict even 68.00. Even if we consider such a scenario, then before that we with a high degree of probability will first see 76 and only then a downward movement. In many ways, this is not so much the strengthening of the ruble itself, albeit at the good price of oil, as the weakness of the dollar itself. ” Everything came true 100%, which once again proves the quality of our analytics.


BTC (Bitcoin)

Where an ordinary asset, be it a stock or a futures, will pass 2-3-5%, the cryptocurrency will certainly make an order of magnitude more – 20-30-50%. Buy targets are shifted by 18,000 and 16,000 respectively.


HG (Copper)

We are waiting for the correction at 3.25 3.20 and again into the battle. Last value 3.51


PL (Platinum)

Yesterday was a tough day for platinum and many people were “put on stops”, while the global scenario did not change. The last value is 1013. I still consider the nearest upward level – 1170


US, ZB (30-year bond futures)

The short from 174 was closed at 172.125, the formation itself most closely resembles a reversal and on the higher time frame is 100% long with a potential of 180 from the current 173.


DX (Dollar Index)

The rebound so we expected is happening, so far very slowly and uncertainly, but we may well reach the 92 levels from the current 90.50.


Experts of Aravana Capital Management with many years of experience will create for you an individual investment strategy based on your wishes.


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