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Financial market analysis

Financial market analysis

15 December 2021

Forecasts of the head of the trading department Valdis Wooldorfs:

ES (S&P500)

The last value is 4634. Markets are awaiting the Fed’s decision. Out of position. We are watching.


PA (Palladium)

The last value is 1591. Palladium did not manage to rise higher to 2000, as we expected. Instead, the asset continues to fall and has already broken through its previous bottom by now. Most likely it will move on to 1500 or 1350. It’s too late to sell here, early to buy. We are waiting.


GC (Gold)

The last value is 1770. Gold, as well as the market, is awaiting the Fed’s rate decision and can change in any direction. A good deal might be buying call options slightly above current prices, along with buying puts just below the market. Neutral, out of position.


CL (WTI Oil)

Oil continues to form a triangle from which a strong exit may follow in one direction or the other. Out of position, watching.


NG (Gas)

The last value is 3.84. We are still buying. We expect a rebound to the 4.20 / 4.40 area, and maybe up to 4.70. Although the deal carries a certain risk, statistically, now the odds are in our favour. We are waiting.


KC (Coffee)

Coffee is moving in an uptrend. Buy levels are 218, 206. The last value is 239.05. Out of position.


USD/RUB

The last value is 73.82. Our forecast given 3 weeks ago is justified – in the next month we will see a new corridor between 73 and 77. We do not see the points from where you can start trading. We are waiting.


BTC (Bitcoin)

The last value is 48300. If 42500 is repeated, you can try to gain longs, there is a good chance for a retest of lower levels. Out of position, we expect.


HG (Copper)

The last value is 4.19. Globally, copper has been holding the 4.84 – 4.00 corridor for too long, which gives us an assumption that a new attempt will soon be made to break through the high or low, but 100% of the entry points are not visible yet. Out of position, watching.


US, ZB (30-year bond futures)

Despite the obvious sideways movement since the end of May this year, bonds are still under pressure. The last value is 162.06. Chances are good that we will go 155 or lower again. Out of position, watching.


DX (Dollar Index)

The dollar index is near its maximums – 97. The levels for buying are 95, 94.30. We are waiting.


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