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Analysis of financial markets

Analysis of financial markets

27 April 2022

Last week, the focus was on American gas, NFLX reporting and the purchase of TWTR by Elon Musk.

ES (S&P500)

The last value is 4175. The market is under pressure due to the not very successful reporting period and the possibility of raising the FED reserve rate by the amount which is more than it was previously announced. The COVID-19 story is gaining momentum again. The number of open long positions is decreasing significantly. The dollar index is growing. Everyone gives preference to cash. The 4100-4200 zone will still be an important level, if these levels are broken through, the market will be able to dive much lower. At the moment, we don’t have a position, but we will try our hand at buying from the levels mentioned above and perhaps we will be able to gain 100-200 points on a rebound from the level.


PA (Palladium)

The last value is 2172. Like all other metals, palladium is now under pressure due to the continued growth of the dollar. Neutral position. We are observing.


GC (Gold)

The last value is 1891. We bought gold at the levels indicated last week. We are observing.


CL (WTI Oil)

The last value is 101.60. We have successfully closed the oil purchased on the correction near 101. Congratulations to everyone who participated! The market is still forming a huge triangle, and in the near future we will see a giant movement of at least 20% on the asset.


NG (Gas)

The last value is 7.07. Last week we managed to get a small volume of gas around 6.50 and close at 7.00. Congratulations to our investors! If it is not enough to overcome the last maximum now, then the gas will go into a deeper correction. Without a position, we are observing.


KC (Coffee)

Coffee can go down dramatically from the current levels, so we are carefully watching the level of 211. The current situation can also be interpreted as a global reversal, so we are choosing a wait-and-see position for now.


USD/RUB

The last value is 73.00. If we were in an ideal market without any interventions and prohibitions from the regulator, then we could assume that the rate once again would go closer to 90-95, before it would already thoroughly fall to the area of 50 or below. At the moment, the ruble is affected by the tax period. Most likely, next month we will see a weakening of the ruble to the above mentioned levels.


BTC (Bitcoin)

The last value is 39200. Bitcoin, like the American market, is waiting for further signals either to rise or to fall. At the moment, it is necessary to monitor the 47000 and 35000 levels, the breaking through any of them will determine the further dynamics. Up to this point, the market may be in a sideways position for a long time.


HG (Copper)

The last value is 4.50. So the correction that we predicted last week has come. We have made purchases and are waiting for the upward movement.


US, ZB (Futures on 30-year bonds)

Bonds are still under pressure. The last value is 142.50. We expect a slight pullback in order to gain short positions again. The level for sale is 148.50.


DX (Dollar Index)

The last value is 102.54. It makes sense to consider purchases from the 98.60 and 97.70 levels. We are waiting.


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